Author Topic: 丁蟹效應  (Read 14677 times)

Offline kido

  • SBC Old Boys
  • ***
  • Posts: 310
丁蟹效應
« on: 08 October 2009, 13:23:40 »
Just would like to share an interesting article here, talking about the so called Adam Cheng Effect.  Don't treat it seriously, just a leisure reading.   I am wondering if the Adam Cheng Effect still hold now.
Hey, diddle, diddle ! The cat and the fiddle.

Offline chin

  • Global Moderator
  • *****
  • Posts: 6,663
Re: 丁蟹效應
« Reply #1 on: 09 October 2009, 01:20:03 »
I heard about this jinx for many years, but I am still skeptical.  :P

Offline hangchoi

  • SBC Old Boys
  • ***
  • Posts: 3,007
  • Alcoholic + Golfmania
    • MaJeff's Wine Blog
Re: 丁蟹效應
« Reply #2 on: 09 October 2009, 10:29:27 »
I think this is a superstitous effect..........
「吾心信其可行,則移山倒海之難,終有成功之日。吾心信其不可行,則反掌折枝之易,亦無收效之期也。」

Offline kido

  • SBC Old Boys
  • ***
  • Posts: 310
Re: 丁蟹效應
« Reply #3 on: 09 October 2009, 10:39:21 »
I don't know how good the estimations are, but it seemed even CLSA took it seriously and did try to analyse it. (if the document is genuine and wasn't a fake one). 

Also sometimes two independent unrelated event are highly correlated and simply couldn't be explained by human being.... Butterfly effect?
Hey, diddle, diddle ! The cat and the fiddle.

Offline hangchoi

  • SBC Old Boys
  • ***
  • Posts: 3,007
  • Alcoholic + Golfmania
    • MaJeff's Wine Blog
Re: 丁蟹效應
« Reply #4 on: 09 October 2009, 10:44:41 »
Well......as far as I understand there was a research on this. So this report might be real.

Someone found these happened for 1 or 2 times and correlated it. Then he told other people and the myth propagated. And this ends up to a bunch of people following this myth and makes up a trend. And the effect amplified....and so on....

Human behaviour seems funny....
「吾心信其可行,則移山倒海之難,終有成功之日。吾心信其不可行,則反掌折枝之易,亦無收效之期也。」

Offline chin

  • Global Moderator
  • *****
  • Posts: 6,663
Re: 丁蟹效應
« Reply #5 on: 09 October 2009, 11:02:31 »
Well......as far as I understand there was a research on this. So this report might be real.

Someone found these happened for 1 or 2 times and correlated it. Then he told other people and the myth propagated. And this ends up to a bunch of people following this myth and makes up a trend. And the effect amplified....and so on....

Human behaviour seems funny....

So you are saying this could be self fulfilling.