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Public Zone 公開區 => General Topics 綜合題目 => Topic started by: kido on 08 October 2009, 13:23:40

Title: 丁蟹效應
Post by: kido on 08 October 2009, 13:23:40

Just would like to share an interesting article here (http://www.adamcheng.net/news/AdamChengEffect.pdf), talking about the so called Adam Cheng Effect.  Don't treat it seriously, just a leisure reading.   I am wondering if the Adam Cheng Effect still hold now.

Title: Re: 丁蟹效應
Post by: chin on 09 October 2009, 01:20:03

I heard about this jinx for many years, but I am still skeptical.  :P

Title: Re: 丁蟹效應
Post by: hangchoi on 09 October 2009, 10:29:27

I think this is a superstitous effect..........

Title: Re: 丁蟹效應
Post by: kido on 09 October 2009, 10:39:21

I don't know how good the estimations are, but it seemed even CLSA took it seriously and did try to analyse it. (if the document is genuine and wasn't a fake one). 

Also sometimes two independent unrelated event are highly correlated and simply couldn't be explained by human being.... Butterfly effect?

Title: Re: 丁蟹效應
Post by: hangchoi on 09 October 2009, 10:44:41

Well......as far as I understand there was a research on this. So this report might be real.

Someone found these happened for 1 or 2 times and correlated it. Then he told other people and the myth propagated. And this ends up to a bunch of people following this myth and makes up a trend. And the effect amplified....and so on....

Human behaviour seems funny....

Title: Re: 丁蟹效應
Post by: chin on 09 October 2009, 11:02:31

Quote from: hangchoi on 09 October 2009, 10:44:41

Well......as far as I understand there was a research on this. So this report might be real.

Someone found these happened for 1 or 2 times and correlated it. Then he told other people and the myth propagated. And this ends up to a bunch of people following this myth and makes up a trend. And the effect amplified....and so on....

Human behaviour seems funny....

So you are saying this could be self fulfilling.